Applying AI and Simulation Outputs to Real Engineering Decisions
IMechE Simulation and Modelling Conference 202629 SeptemberAustin Court, BirminghamAli Parandeh CEng
AI surrogates can return a CFD or FEA result in seconds. Coding agents can write the tools around your solver, and some can now drive the solver itself. None of that tells you whether the output is good enough to act on. This talk sets out how far to trust it at each stage of a design decision, using published cases and two tools I've built.
Get the slides and guideThe hypothesis
My own synopsis said neural networks can approximate simulation outputs "without compromising accuracy". I wrote it, and then spent the talk testing it. It doesn't hold as a general claim. A surrogate inherits every error in the runs it learned from and adds its own. The question worth asking is whether it's accurate enough for the decision in front of you.
Four ways AI gets into a simulation workflow
Predict: surrogate models trained on past runs. Generate: new geometry from requirements or a prompt. Build: coding agents that write scripts and niche solvers. Drive: agents operating the software you already have. None of them replaces your solver.
Explore, Narrow, Commit
Explore. Generate lots of options, fast and rough. You want the right trends, not exact numbers, so this is where AI does the most work.
Narrow. Check the shortlist meets your requirements, check the surrogate behaves and spot-check it with the solver.
Commit. Back to full solver and physical test, run in parallel with the old process. The AI output stays out of the evidence.
How accurate it needs to be depends on the decision you're making with it.
What the published cases show
GM. A model trained on GM's own CFD data predicts drag inside the designers' sculpting tools. A two-week loop is now minutes. The figure used for fuel-economy certification still comes from a wind tunnel. (GM newsroom, April 2026; IEEE Spectrum, April 2026)
JLR. Aero evaluations went from about 50 to about 1,500 a day, using surrogates trained on more than 20,000 of JLR's own simulations and checked against CFD and the wind tunnel. (Vendor-reported by Neural Concept, from JLR's NVIDIA GTC talk, March 2026)
Dallara. Set two accuracy bars before training: one for concept work and a stricter one for standing in for CFD. The model cleared the first on all 20 parts and the second on 18. (arXiv 2604.18491, April 2026)
A linear FEA solver running in the browser
A browser FEA bench with a neural surrogate checked against the solver on every change. Inside its training range the surrogate is within 1%. Outside it, you can watch the error climb.
Six checks before a surrogate result counts
Behaviour: minimum functionality, invariance, directional expectation.
Decision: inside the training envelope, same ranking as the solver, obeys the physics.
Then verify the shortlist against your requirements.
The guide explains each check with worked simulation examples.
Nine failure modes in agentic simulation workflows
Objective drift, cost explosion, memory corruption, cascading errors, tool drift, prompt injection, infinite loops, context decay, instruction drift. Most trace back to three gaps: no contract, no checks between steps and no record of what the tool did.
Get the slides and the guide
Full slides with sources, and a one-page Explore, Narrow, Commit guide.
Your download will be emailed to you along with relevant tips for AI adoption in engineering.
Questions people ask
Can AI surrogates replace CFD or FEA?
Not for sign-off. In every published case I found, high-fidelity simulation and physical testing still decide at commit.
How much data does a surrogate need?
It depends on the design space. Published examples train on hundreds to tens of thousands of consistent runs from one design family.
Do regulators accept surrogate results in safety cases?
Not yet. ONR, the NRC and CNSC have published considerations for AI, not acceptance criteria.
What's the difference between a surrogate and an agent-built tool?
A surrogate is statistical every time it runs. An agent-built tool is code: once written, it's deterministic and can be reviewed line by line.
About the speaker
Ali Parandeh is a Chartered Engineer (IMechE) and founder of Build Your AI. He has spent 13 years across rail signalling, rail AI and generative AI consultancy, and is the author of Building Generative AI Services with FastAPI (O'Reilly) and the Building Reliable AI Agents liveProject series (Manning).
If you're working out how far to trust AI on a live project, get in touch.
Sources
The hypothesis
- Siemens, "Siemens introduces new Simcenter PhysicsAI add-on", May 2026
- Jakeman, Barba, Martins and O'Leary-Roseberry, "Verification and Validation for Trustworthy Scientific Machine Learning" Published in Machine Learning: Science and Technology, 2026. Linked here is the arXiv version.
Published cases
- GM newsroom, "How GM's designers use AI to accelerate their creative vision", 16 April 2026
- IEEE Spectrum, "AI Models Trained on Physics Are Changing Design Engineering", April 2026
- Neural Concept, "AI-Native Aerodynamic Engineering in Practice with JLR", 2026 (vendor-reported)
- Dallara and IBM Research, "Faster by Design: Interactive Aerodynamics via Neural Surrogates Trained on Expert-Validated CFD", arXiv 2604.18491, April 2026 (preprint)
